Cotton forecasts decline; 2026 yield lowest since 2015 if realized
September 12, 2026 | National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Department of Agriculture (USDA), Executive, Federal
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NASS reported a U.S. cotton yield forecast of 776 pounds per acre and production of 13,200,000 bales for 2026. Anthony Krillman said yield “is now forecasted 776 pounds per acre,” down 2.8% from last month and 8.9% from 2025, and noted continuing heat and limited moisture in the Southern Plains as drivers of the decline.
Krillman reported planted acreage at 10,400,000 acres (down 22,000 from August but up 12.5% versus last year) and harvested acres at 8,160,000. He singled out Texas, Arkansas and Mississippi for sizeable month-to-month production drops and said the 2026 forecast would represent the lowest U.S. cotton yield since 2015 if realized.
Krillman reported planted acreage at 10,400,000 acres (down 22,000 from August but up 12.5% versus last year) and harvested acres at 8,160,000. He singled out Texas, Arkansas and Mississippi for sizeable month-to-month production drops and said the 2026 forecast would represent the lowest U.S. cotton yield since 2015 if realized.
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