County staff told the Alameda County Board of Supervisors on Nov. 19 that polling results for a proposed general‑obligation bond to fund unincorporated‑area fire stations and a training center were mixed and recommended additional targeted polling before putting the measure on the ballot.
The fire chief briefed the board on changing cost estimates. An earlier staff estimate put fire stations and a training center at about $97 million; subsequent polling used a $150 million figure (about $118 million for stations and $32 million for a training center). After updated escalation modeling over seven years, the county presented a revised estimate of roughly $134 million total, about $104 million for stations alone. The chief said the polling showed very strong support overall for the fire department's work (mid‑80s percent) but only tepid support for a combined station/training‑center bond in the unincorporated area (low‑50s percent), which reduced the overall ballot viability.
Staff recommended a "snap" poll that would test a narrower, stations‑only measure (estimated roughly at $18.50 per $100,000 assessed value) to gauge whether a smaller, focused measure could surpass the required two‑thirds threshold for a GO bond. Supervisors discussed options including testing a range of funding levels, assessing potential senior exemptions (county counsel noted exemption questions differ by bond type), and scheduling extra meetings to meet ballot deadlines if the board decides to pursue a measure.
Staff noted timeline constraints: the clerk's office identified early December deadlines for ballot documents (discussed as Dec. 5–6 deadlines for submission), and supervisors discussed scheduling a possible Dec. 5 meeting to consider poll results and next steps.
The board did not vote on a bond measure at the Nov. 19 meeting; staff said they planned a follow‑up poll and a return to the board with updated numbers and recommendations.